While it is true that Social Security is a long way away from the robust national pension plans societies like Germany and Japan provide for their citizens, I am not aware that the Social Security Administration has suggested to anyone that promised payments will not be forthcoming. The only real risk in that department involved getting enough irresponsible know-nothings like Rick Santorum or Michelle Bachmann into positions of power that the government makes a choice not to honor previously incurred obligations. As with the debt ceiling, there are plenty of other ways right-wing extremists would like to see our government take on the role of a deadbeat. However, the idea that these people have identified a real problem and are responding appropriately too that problem is no more sensible than the idea that a guy who doesn't pay his cable and electricity bills is behaving responsibly because he's identified the "problem" of not being able to go on a costly ski weekend with his buddies and decided the solution is to shirk pre-existing obligations.
I can agree that public debt is not desirable. Though I didn't really give up on George W. Bush until he started to talk of invading Iraq within days of the 9-11 attacks, I certainly did not get a good feeling about his "we have to give the budget surplus back to the people" nonsense when addressing one of the few opportunities for actual debt reduction in my lifetime. I would be surprised if more than 1% of Tea Party activists voted for Al Gore or if fewer than 90% of those who did vote in 2000 did not cast a vote for George W. Bush. Yet these very same citizens were remarkably untroubled by his initial desire to avoid even a small amount of debt reduction with the initial conditions he inherited, never mind the gargantuan debt expansion underwent in no small part due to a pointless war of aggression coupled with an unholy alliance between corrupt Defense Department officials and corrupt government contractors. Even his singular attempt at actually helping the American people, Medicare Part D, was 10% actual help and 90% a publicly-financed windfall for major pharmaceutical corporations (some of which aren't even American and none of which had real need for the extra income.)
One major difference between spending under President Obama and spending under his predecessor is this bogus "sky is falling" attitude a certain subset of activists take when a man of mixed race is signing the budget legislation. Yet another major difference is that, since 2008, there has been a real problem in need of a solution here. I support American military strength, and I would have no problem if our response to 20 men with boxcutters involved 40 men with assault rifles. However, a sensible response to Al Qaeada would have at most cost $1 billion or perhaps $2 billion if some allowance is made for corruption. Instead declaring a "global war on terror" and spending a full $1 trillion while incurring another trillion or more in future costs was inexcusable. This is not because $1 trillion is a very big number and we should all be scared of it. Rather it is because that $1 trillion was directed at a "problem" that was entirely the fabrication of paranoid right-wing incompetents.
Unemployment near 10% and growth alarmingly close to 0% is not a problem that exists only in the minds of ideological extremists and their ignorant admirers. It is a real problem that can and should be addressed by real action. Alas, still hamstrung by know-nothings with fantasies about tax cuts as the cure for everything from sagging capital markets to broken bones, even the much-maligned stimulus package we got was dominated by tax cuts. We can never know precisely what would have followed if the economy of early 2009 was pushed forward by demand-side stimulus spending of a scale proportionate to the problem at hand, but we can know that other nations facing low-growth high-unemployment scenarios that did implement appropriately large stimulus measures wound up bringing unemployment back down to traditional norms while growth rose up toward traditional norms. None of us who favor sensible economic policy can guarantee it would have worked in this instance, but I can say with absolute confidence that it would have been nice to have at least tried to fix the problem with real and serious efforts.
Instead we see half the nation still suckered into believing that the real problem is that we didn't cut taxes enough or that the real problem is we don't compel the least shrewd investors amongst our senior citizens to get their meals by dumpster diving! Entitlements much grander than anything ever implemented on American shores can be sustained. In fact, they have been sustained by dozens of prosperous nations -- not just two or three of Europe's least well-managed economies, but also those economic dynamos responsible for bailing out Greece, Ireland, et al. If the American entrepreneur and America's largest enterprises could not possibly endure such horrors as an end to the tax credit for private jet ownership or a rise in the top marginal tax rate to 35%, what does that say about how profoundly inferior they are to German entrepreneurs or France's largest enterprises? At what point will we stop acting like our own business leaders are a bunch of incompetent morons and start looking to them to pull their weight in the national economy at least as well as their European counterparts do without complaint? What makes our business community suck so much more, both at creating jobs in the extremely low-tax high-profit conditions at present and at being responsible in the debate about possible tax increases, than their Old World counterparts?
Again, I believe a large public debt is not desirable. However, I also believe America suffers much more greatly for the Chicken Little histrionics of ignorant activists than for the actual costs of the underlying debt. The only "crisis" we experienced this summer was a crisis of idiocy as the most irresponsible class of Representatives since the Secessionists arbitrarily manufactured a crisis that has since done real and serious harm to the entire American economy. To characterize those moral monsters as having identified a serious problem and stepped up with responsible solutions is to describe conditions precisely the opposite of reality. They took a legitimate concern and recast it as a source of imminent doom, then they childishly insisted that they would bring about this doom unless they got what they wanted in terms of an agenda that need never have been linked to (and never previously was linked to) debt ceiling legislation.
In the end, paying down the debt will now be much more difficult, much more expensive, because of their abominable antics. It is downright treacherous to show even a little support for this kind of behavior on the national stage. I will grant that a long term approach to dealing with the debt deserves attention. Assuming the business cycle ever gets back around to something more boom-like in future, we would do well at that point to consider not keeping the base interest rate artificially on the floor, to cutting back on the least rewarding varieties of domestic spending, and to ending all subsidies and special tax breaks for profitable enterprises employing more than 50 people. While I think we could manage the latter even in a time of economic distress, right now would be the wrong time to strangle outfits like NASA or the National Park Service -- organizations that always take a kick in the teeth whenever discretionary non-defense spending is under attack -- both because that spending actually accomplishes meaningful good and because even more unemployment will only drive down revenues and ultimately expand the deficit and the debt.
To the extent that we could not align spending and revenues by actually collecting more revenue from the unofficial modern aristocracy of our corporate elite, the time for deep painful cuts is certainly not while we are in the depths of a deeply painful recession. Even for that portion of Tea Party supporters who actually do harbor good intentions for this nation, their demands still produce horribly costly results for us all. It may be fair to criticize S&P as amateurs both for their recent decision and for their long-standing tendency to issue unrealistically high ratings on private sector securities while branding public sector securities with ratings far lower than actual historical data about repayment warrants. Yet it is also fair to criticize the House Republicans and the Tea Party Caucus in particular for behaving in a grossly irresponsible and thoroughly amateur fashion when they bore a special duty to rise above that garbage and do right by our nation. Through the quirks of our democratic process, their failure is now the failure of us all. I fear it is a failure we are likely to repeat whenever I hear kind words for their truly inexcusable conduct either as legislators or as public figures pouncing upon concerns, even sometimes legitimate concerns, to feed their supporters a steady diet of fear and hatred.
Regards,
messydom